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S9/10Geopolitical
US strikes on Iran’s vessels lead to escalation, threaten global security — Iranian MFA
Iran’s state-run broadcaster previously reported that US forces had delivered strikes on three Iranian civilian vessels in the Persian Gulf
Source: TASS EnglishOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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