S6/10Geopolitical

Deterring Russia Beneath the Waves: Securing NATO’s Critical Undersea Infrastructure

The sea is home to an increasingly complex and vulnerable assemblage of data cables, energy pipelines, and electricity interconnectors. How might NATO deter attacks on this critical underwater infrastructure?

01 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCSource: RANDOriginal source

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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days

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