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S9/10Natural
Tsunami warnings issued after 8.2 magnitude earthquake off Philippines
Officials in Indonesia, Philippines and Japan warn of tsunami waves following quake off Mindanao.
Source: Al JazeeraOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Did not materialiseHorizon: 7–14 days
B
Status quo
Did not materialiseHorizon: 7–14 days
C
De-escalation
Did not materialiseHorizon: 7–14 days
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