S5/10Economic
Ukrainian drones knock out up to 40% of Russia's oil refining capacity – FT
Ukraine's strikes on 10 of Russia's largest refineries have deepened the fuel shortage, with restrictions covering most regions and the crisis affecting around 50 million Russians.
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.
Checking access status…