S8/10Geopolitical
Trump says he's cancelling strikes on Iran as 'perimeters of a deal' agreed
On Friday, Trump had said he was "losing faith" in the prospect of a peace deal and threatened to hit Iran "very hard."
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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