S8/10Geopolitical
Zelenskyy says Putin may increase mobilisation after Russia's elections
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy believes that the parliamentary elections in Russia in September will not affect further escalation of the war, as their outcome is predictable, but Russian leader Vladimir Putin may resort to increasing mobilisation afterwards.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
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Horizon: 7–30 days
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