S6/10Social
SCO, Laos sign memorandum on Dialogue Partner status for Vientiane
According to SCO Secretary-General Nurlan Yermekbayev, Vientiane is ready to play an active part in the SCO’s work
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 22% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days