S8/10Geopolitical

IMF sees world economy growing just 3% this year amid Iran war

The International Monetary Fund on Wednesday modestly downgraded its outlook for the world economy this year, citing the energy shock caused by the Iran war. But the fallout from the conflict is being partially offset by booming investment in artificial intelligence and other technologies. The IMF now expects the global economy to expand by a sluggish 3 per cent in 2026, down from 3.5 per cent last year and from the 3.1 per cent it had forecast for this year back in April. The fund expects...

08 Jul 2026, 14:41 UTCSource: South China Morning PostOriginal source

Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).

⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days

Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.

Checking access status…