S6/10Geopolitical
IMF warns Burnham he cannot afford to boost public spending
Fund urges ‘cautious approach’ to fiscal pressures
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 38% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence:
Horizon: 7–30 days