Сценарий A: Эскалация?

Question

Accepted Answer

Сценарии: Ebola in DR Congo Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% Confirmation indicators: Increase in reported cases of Ebola virus disease in DRC and Uganda, exceeding 100 confirmed cases within the first week after the outbreak declaration. Local health authorities report a significant rise in mortality rate. Time horizon: Within 2 weeks. The escalation could lead to further spread within DRC and Uganda, potentially impacting neighboring countries. Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% Co (43% model probability, not a guarantee)