S6/10Social
No full US investigation into Iran school strike — media
According to the TV channel, the Pentagon carried out only an initial check aimed at determining whether the intended target was hit
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 27% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days