S8/10Geopolitical
Arrests, denials and missing images: Gulf states’ response to Iranian strikes
Since the conflict between Iran and the United States began on February 28, more than 1,000 people have been arrested for attempting to document Iranian strikes in Jordan and Gulf countries allied with Washington. The governments of these countries have sought to deter the circulation of such images and maintain an official narrative denying that the strikes reached their targets.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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