S6/10Geopolitical
Tanzanian lecturer arrested over anti-government protests charged with terrorism
He is among more than 130 people detained over planned protests calling for democratic reforms.
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.
Checking access status…