S9/10Geopolitical

Reports say Pentagon raised Israeli espionage threat level to ‘critical’

Reports say Pentagon raised Israeli espionage threat level to ‘critical’ The Pentagon’s Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) has reportedly raised its assessment of the threat posed by Israeli espionage from “high” to “critical”, according to reports by NBC News and The New York Times, which cited anonymous US officials. The reports said the change was driven by concerns that Israel has adopted increasingly aggressive intelligence-gathering tactics amid tensions surrounding the US-Israel war on Iran. According to the reports, US officials fear Israeli intelligence services are attempting to monitor senior American officials and gain insight into internal White House discussions regarding efforts to end the conflict.

07 Jun 2026, 04:49 UTCSource: Middle East EyeOriginal source

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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation78% model probability

Confirmation indicators

  • Israeli government publicly announces a new intelligence operation targeting American personnel abroad. US media reports of increased military activity in the region.
  • Time Horizon: 1
Horizon: 7–21 days
B
Status quo16% model probability

Confirmation indicators

  • Israeli government publicly announces a new intelligence operation targeting American personnel abroad. US media reports of increased military activity in the region.
  • Time Horizon: 1
Horizon: 7–21 days
C
De-escalation6% model probability

Confirmation indicators

  • Israeli government publicly announces a new intelligence operation targeting American personnel abroad. US media reports of increased military activity in the region.
  • Time Horizon: 1
Horizon: 7–21 days