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S5/10Economic

Bolivian president declares state of emergency

The move comes after weeks of anti-government protests that have caused a shortage of basic goods in Bolivia.

Source: BBC WorldOriginal source
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация

s and exacerbate the shortage of basic goods, creating heightened social unrest. Confirmation indicators: Increased media coverage of violent clashes between protest

Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Статус-кво

s and exacerbate the shortage of basic goods, creating heightened social unrest. Confirmation indicators: Increased media coverage of violent clashes between protest

Horizon: 7–30 days
C
Деэскалация

s and exacerbate the shortage of basic goods, creating heightened social unrest. Confirmation indicators: Increased media coverage of violent clashes between protest

Horizon: 7–30 days

Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.