S8/10Geopolitical
US launches another round of strikes on Iran as ceasefire teeters
Trump administration insists that the Strait of Hormuz remains open after Tehran declared it closed
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.
Checking access status…