S6/10Geopolitical
Zelensky tries to fix crisis over removal of defence minister and counts the cost
Protests have continued over Zelensky's decision to dismiss Mykhailo Fedorov, and some commentators believe he has been damaged politically.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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