S9/10Geopolitical
Iran war live: Trump threatens to hit ‘very hard’ over strikes on Jordan
Threat comes as Iranian media report that four Iranians were killed in joint US-Saudi attacks in Iraq.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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