S6/10Geopolitical
美軍連炸10夜 ！ 伊朗首度直接攻擊油輪 荷姆茲航運幾近停擺 - 國際
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 35% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days