S6/10Geopolitical
Oil depots in Russia's Tver and Stavropol Krai ablaze after drone attacks – photo, videos
Drones struck oil storage facilities in the Russian cities of Tver and Mikhaylovsk in Stavropol Krai overnight, triggering fires at both sites.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 44% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days