S6/10Military
US to be very disappointed if China supplied weapons to Iran — Trump
According to the US president, Chinese President Xi Jinping promised in May not to provide military assistance to Iran
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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