S8/10Geopolitical
Sources: Council of EU to approve new Russia sanctions on 13 July over massive attacks on Ukraine
The Council of the European Union is expected to approve additional sanctions against Russia on Monday 13 July in response to its large-scale attacks on Ukraine.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 68% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days