S8/10Geopolitical
Russia attacks Ukraine with 35 missiles and 185 drones, only two missiles intercepted
Russian forces launched 35 missiles of various types and 185 drones against Ukraine on the night of 31 July-1 August, with Kyiv Oblast being the main target.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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