S8/10Geopolitical
The Risks of Conflict Expansion from the Gulf to the Caspian
The Strait of Hormuz is nearly 3,000 kilometers (2,000 miles) from the frontline in southeastern Ukraine, but the two wars – one pitting the U.S. against Iran, the other Russia against Ukraine – are converging in the Caspian Sea basin. The reason is Iran’s deepening partnership with Russia, combined with the fact that U.S. efforts […] The post The Risks of Conflict Expansion from the Gulf to the Caspian appeared first on Geopolitical Futures .
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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