S9/10Geopolitical
NATO unity not worth much in real war situations — Medvedev
The Russian Security Council deputy chairman said that the aftermath of the strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz showed how quickly Washington's allies can turn their back on you
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 89% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days