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FAR bonds lose their pull as tailwinds fade
Foreign inflows into Indian government securities have begun to slow down. This moderation follows a strong surge in June driven by index inclusion expectations. Narrowing yield spreads between India and the US are now a key factor. Concerns over rupee weakness and delayed index decisions also contribute. Investors are reassessing the attractiveness of rupee-denominated assets.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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