S9/10Geopolitical
Could Iran become America's next 'forever war'?
The ceasefire has collapsed, attacks are escalating and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz remains under threat. Is the US drifting into another open-ended conflict with no clear way out?
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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