S6/10Geopolitical
突发 ！ 美军连炸伊朗5座桥 ， 伊朗要求封锁曼德海峡 ， 胡塞武装已部署导弹 ！ 中东多国遭袭 ， 特朗普想扩大打击 ， 施压伊朗重返谈判
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.
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