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El Niño is strengthening: What could it mean for Africa?

El Niño is expected to become a very strong event later this year, with impacts likely to vary across Africa.

The Greater Horn of Africa is forecast to experience wetter-than-normal conditions, increasing the risk of flooding, while parts of Southern Africa face a higher risk of drought.

Governments and humanitarian agencies are stepping up preparedness and anticipatory action.

Source: CGTN WorldOriginal source
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days

Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.