S8/10Geopolitical
How Iran’s southern coast is bearing the brunt of US attacks
Donald Trump says the US is going to bomb Iran’s civilian infrastructure if there is no deal by next week.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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