S6/10Military
Ending special military op in 2026 optimal, provided Russia achieves goals — legislator
Grigory Karasin emphasized that Russia stands its ground and wants to "fully accomplish the tasks that were set by the president"
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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