Ты видишь риск, которого нет в портфеле.
А видишь ли ты мир, который живёт без тебя? 8 эр. 4900 лет. Одна планета.
Смотреть AGORA ?
Analyze in Oracle Skeptic
S5/10Economic

US suspending sanctions on Iranian oil until 21 August

US suspending sanctions on Iranian oil until 21 August The US government has said it is suspending sanctions on Iran until 21 August.

The Treasury said in a statement that it was waiving all existing US sanctions on "the Production, Delivery and Sale of Crude Oil, Petrochemical Products, and Petroleum Products of Iranian-Origin through August 21, 2026.

" The waiver will also allow the US to import "petrochemical and petroleum products of Iranian origin" for domestic use.

Source: Middle East EyeOriginal source

Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).

⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация

US suspension of sanctions leads to increased Iranian oil exports, exceeding pre-sanction levels. This triggers concerns from OPEC+ members and other major oil exporters about market dominance by Iran. Tensions rise between the US and Iran, potentially leading to diplomatic disputes or even military escalation. Confirmation Indicators: Significant increase in Iranian oil exports (e.g., surpassing 2 million barrels per day) coupled with a sh

Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Статус-кво

US suspension of sanctions leads to increased Iranian oil exports, exceeding pre-sanction levels. This triggers concerns from OPEC+ members and other major oil exporters about market dominance by Iran. Tensions rise between the US and Iran, potentially leading to diplomatic disputes or even military escalation. Confirmation Indicators: Significant increase in Iranian oil exports (e.g., surpassing 2 million barrels per day) coupled with a sh

Horizon: 7–30 days
C
Деэскалация

US suspension of sanctions leads to increased Iranian oil exports, exceeding pre-sanction levels. This triggers concerns from OPEC+ members and other major oil exporters about market dominance by Iran. Tensions rise between the US and Iran, potentially leading to diplomatic disputes or even military escalation. Confirmation Indicators: Significant increase in Iranian oil exports (e.g., surpassing 2 million barrels per day) coupled with a sh

Horizon: 7–30 days

Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.