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US at 250: has Europe learned to survive Trump’s America?

In a public park a stone’s throw from the European Commission buildings in Brussels late last month, beer flowed, meat grilled and country music blared as revellers marked the 250th anniversary of the founding of the United States. The fallout from the event, however, provided signs – if they were needed – that all is not well in America’s relations with its erstwhile European allies. Just three of the EU’s 27 commissioners and none of its leaders showed up, while authorities were reportedly...

06 Jul 2026, 15:30 UTCSource: South China Morning PostOriginal source

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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация41% model probability

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days