S6/10Geopolitical
美伊谅解备忘录已事实上破裂 ， 停火前景不明 ； 伊朗本月袭击致近100名美军受伤 ， 特朗普暗示要强硬报复
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.
Checking access status…