S6/10Geopolitical
Iran war live: Tehran warns of ‘decisive’ response to any US ‘aggression’
Iran's Araghchi issues warning in separate phone calls with the foreign ministers of Turkiye, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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