S6/10Geopolitical
What we know about US soldiers killed in Iran war, and Iranian casualties
Trump has expressed sadness and vowed to hit Iran 'very hard' to honour killed US soldiers.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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