S8/10Geopolitical
US attacks kill three in Iran, state media says
US attacks kill three in Iran, state media says US strikes west of Iran killed at least three people and wounded several others, state media reported. According to Valiollah Hayati, the deputy governor of Khuzestan for security and law enforcement, the attack occurred on the outskirts of city of Ahvaz.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 62% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days