S8/10Geopolitical
Iran war has cost US $37.5bn so far, Hegseth says, as Pentagon seeks billions more
The hearing was disrupted by protests and a shouting match as Hegseth testified at a pivotal time in the war.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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