S8/10Geopolitical
New wave of US strikes, Iran's response: situation in Middle East
US President Donald Trump called the new wave of strikes on Iran retaliation for alleged attacks on vessels
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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