S8/10Geopolitical
Russia attacks Ukraine with 13 missiles and 151 drones, air defences down 132 aerial assets
Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 13 missiles, five loitering munitions and 146 attack drones on the night of 15-16 July. Ukrainian air defences have destroyed or jammed 132 aerial assets.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
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Horizon: 7–30 days
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