Question 1

Сценарий A: Escalation?

Accepted Answer

Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% Chain: Nissan's trademark applications in Russia are met with increased scrutiny and potential legal challenges from Russian businesses or regulatory bodies. This could lead to delays in registration, potentially impacting future product launches or expansion plans in the region. * Public statements from Russian business associations expressing concerns about foreign investment in specific sectors (e.g., automotive) following the trademark applications. * Announcement of legal proceedings against Nissan by a Russian company alleging infringement on their intellectual property rights related to similar products or technologies. Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% Chain: The event is largely ignored, and Nissan continues with its plans for the Russian market without any significant chan (29% model probability, not a guarantee)

Question 2

Сценарий B: Status Quo?

Accepted Answer

Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% Chain: Nissan's trademark applications in Russia are met with increased scrutiny and potential legal challenges from Russian businesses or regulatory bodies. This could lead to delays in registration, potentially impacting future product launches or expansion plans in the region. * Public statements from Russian business associations expressing concerns about foreign investment in specific sectors (e.g., automotive) following the trademark applications. * Announcement of legal proceedings against Nissan by a Russian company alleging infringement on their intellectual property rights related to similar products or technologies. Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% Chain: The event is largely ignored, and Nissan continues with its plans for the Russian market without any significant chan (52% model probability, not a guarantee)

Question 3

Сценарий C: De-escalation?

Accepted Answer

Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% Chain: Nissan's trademark applications in Russia are met with increased scrutiny and potential legal challenges from Russian businesses or regulatory bodies. This could lead to delays in registration, potentially impacting future product launches or expansion plans in the region. * Public statements from Russian business associations expressing concerns about foreign investment in specific sectors (e.g., automotive) following the trademark applications. * Announcement of legal proceedings against Nissan by a Russian company alleging infringement on their intellectual property rights related to similar products or technologies. Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% Chain: The event is largely ignored, and Nissan continues with its plans for the Russian market without any significant chan (19% model probability, not a guarantee)