S6/10Military
Russian troops survive just 20-30 minutes on Ukraine’s front lines, CIA director says
Russian recruits arriving on the battlefield in Ukraine survive an estimated 20 to 30 minutes before they are killed or wounded, the CIA director said.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 51% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days