S6/10Geopolitical
Banks lure NRIs with high-return FCNR(B) deposits, warn of leverage risks
Banks are attracting NRI dollar deposits through RBI's FCNR(B) window. These deposits offer projected returns of thirteen to sixteen percent. Customers can borrow multiple times their capital to amplify these dollar yields. However, early redemption carries substantial penalties and lender control over pledged funds. Investors face liquidity constraints and regulatory risks with these leveraged products.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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