S6/10Social
Lavrov arrives in Mozambique as part of his African tour
Russian Foreign Minister ’s previous visit to Mozambique took place in May 2023
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 27% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days