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S5/10Economic
<a href='http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/photo/2017-03/30/c_136171338.htm' target='_blank'>Manila Int'l Auto Show kicks off</a>
Visitors attend the Manila International Auto Show at the World Trade Center in Pasay City, the Philippines.
Source: Xinhua World
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Status quo
Horizon: 7–30 days
C
De-escalation
Horizon: 7–30 days
Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.