S5/10Economic
Russia’s budget deficit totals 2.5% of GDP in January-June — ministry
Federal budget revenue increased by 5.8% compared to the same period in 2025, to 18,622 bln rubles
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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