S6/10Geopolitical
Second tanker in three months hijacked off Yemen by suspected Somali pirates
There have also been several unsuccessful attacks in a region where piracy appears to be making a comeback.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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