S6/10Geopolitical
Ukraine’s new commander-in-chief Drapaty is on Russia’s wanted list
Earlier, the Russian Investigative Committee brought charges against Drapaty for staging more than 70 shelling attacks killing or wounding 154 people
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
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Horizon: 7–30 days
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