S9/10Geopolitical
Russia attacks Ukraine with 2 missiles and 122 drones, air defences down 101 UAVs
Ukraine's air defences intercepted 101 Russian drones overnight, but missile strikes and drone impacts were recorded at several locations.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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