S6/10Geopolitical
US embassies issue alerts after Trump vows to hit Iran ‘hard’
US embassies in the Middle East are bracing for possible escalation after Trump said the US will hit Iran 'hard'.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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